Thursday, May 15, 2014

Election results: Sebi, market entities up vigil on stocks

AddThis Social Bookmark Button
Subscribe in a reader

To ring fence the capital market from possible manipulations against the backdrop of election results tomorrow, Sebi as well as bourses and other market entities have prepared an elaborate vigil mechanism. While market authorities have been already monitoring stock movements very closely since last few days, which saw markets surging to record highs on the back of exit poll and other predictions, they are now mainly focussing on tackling any possible shocks tomorrow and on Monday. The counting of votes for 543 Lok Sabha constituencies will begin tomorrow at 8 am, while clear trends are likely to emerge by afternoon and final results may keep coming out till late evening. The markets would open as per their normal time at 9 am and close at 3.30 pm, leaving scope for impact of the results on Monday as well after weekly trading holidays on Saturday and Sunday. A special team at Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) is keeping a close tab on the stock market movements, while another team would also be monitoring the election results as they get announced to understand whether price movements are linked to outcomes in various constituencies, sources said.

According to sources, the stock movement of companies related to Gujarat and many others are being closely watched as they have witnessed huge rallies in recent weeks. Besides Indian market movements, the trends in overseas markets and factors affecting foreign institutional investors are also being monitored almost on a 24/7 basis. Besides, stock exchanges have put in place various circuit filters to stave off excessive volatility in stocks as well as derivatives segments. Brokerages and other market entities are also advising investors to ensure that there are no sudden spurts or falls in the market, while investors are being discouraged from excessive margin exposure. The aim is to ring fence the interest of investors and ensure smooth functioning of the market tomorrow by preventing manipulative activities, sources said. The preparations are being done while keeping in mind the experience of previous times during the day of Lok Sabha poll results.  Apart from tomorrow, market authorities would be keeping a special watch on May 19 (Monday) also to ensure there are no disruptions of any kind. Brokerages have sent out advisories to their clients, while trading exposure based on margins -- the multiples of the cash position that investors are allowed to trade in -- is also being curtailed for intra-day trades. Leading bourses BSE and NSE relaxed the dynamic price bands for stocks that trade in the derivatives segment with effect from May 13. Stock exchanges have a mechanism of dynamic price bands, commonly known as dummy filters or operating range, which prevents acceptance of orders for execution that are placed beyond the price limits set by the bourses. "In the event of a market trend in either direction, the dynamic price bands may be relaxed during the day in coordination with the other exchange," according to similarly worded circulars from the BSE and the NSE. The BJP-led NDA is projected to form the government at the Centre with exit polls tonight giving between 249 and 290 seats to the Narendra Modi-led grouping, which is close to the half-way mark in the 543-member Lok Sabha. The preparations by market authorities have also taken into account their experience during the result day of last Lok Sabha elections. On May 18, 2009 -- the day when results of last Lok Sabha polls were announced -- markets gained so much that trading had to be halted. That date is still known as 'Magic Monday' in stock market as the benchmark index Sensex posted its biggest ever gain of over 2,100 points in just one-minute trade after investors were enthused by a decisive verdict in the then concluded general elections. The experience was another extreme on May 17, 2004, soon after the announcement of 2004 Lok Sabha elections, the markets witnessed the worst-ever bloodbath on concerns of uncertainty over the economic reforms as the then NDA government was voted out of power.

Subscribe for updates

Get All Stories Delivered At Your Email Address Daily
Enter your email address:


Digg Technorati del.icio.us Stumbleupon Reddit Blinklist Furl Spurl Yahoo Simpy

Contingency plan ready for volatility on result day: Rajan

AddThis Social Bookmark Button
Subscribe in a reader

The Reserve Bank today said it has put in place contingency plans to infuse liquidity into the system to deal with any possible volatility in markets tomorrow in view of the election results. "We assured the board that we are in discussions with the Finance Ministry and Sebi and we have placed prudential contingency plans to infuse liquidity if needed. We hope that everything will go normally tomorrow when the election results are announced," RBI Governor Raghuram Rajan said. He was speaking to reporters after a meeting of central board of the RBI. The BSE benchmark Sensex has rallied over 1500 points in the last five trading sessions while the Rupee closed at nearly 10-month high of 59.29 against the US dollar today. Both the stock and forex markets are expected to remain volatile in view of the announcement of results for the general elections.

Finance Minister P Chidambaram earlier this week asked the regulators to maintain a strict vigil on the volatility in stock markets on the day of poll results. While market authorities have been already monitoring stock movements very closely since last few days, which saw markets surging to record highs on the back of exit poll and other predictions, they are now mainly focusing on tackling any possible shocks tomorrow and on Monday. The counting of votes for 543 Lok Sabha constituencies will begin tomorrow at 8 am, while clear trends are likely to emerge by afternoon and final results may keep coming out till late evening. Exit polls show BJP-led NDA is set to form the government after votes are counted tomorrow. The markets would open as per their normal time at 9 am and close at 3.30 pm, leaving scope for impact of the results on Monday as well after weekly trading holidays on Saturday and Sunday.


Subscribe for updates

Get All Stories Delivered At Your Email Address Daily
Enter your email address:


Digg Technorati del.icio.us Stumbleupon Reddit Blinklist Furl Spurl Yahoo Simpy

Tuesday, May 13, 2014

FM asks regulators to be alert, curb excessive volatility

AddThis Social Bookmark Button
Subscribe in a reader

Concerned over the sudden spurt in stock markets ahead of poll results, Finance Minister P Chidambaram Tuesday asked regulators, including Sebi and RBI, to remain alert and take necessary actions to curb excessive volatility.

Sebi Chairman U K Sinha on his part sought to calm the markets saying regulations are in place to curb any excessive volatility and the regulator in keeping a very close watch on stock movements. Emerging from the meeting of the FSDC, where the volatility in stock markets figured during discussions, RBI Governor Raghuram Rajan said the central bank is prepared to deal with any kind of eventuality that may occur over next few days. Over last three trading sessions, the BSE benchmark Sensex has rallied over 1,500 points and the NSE's Nifty nearly 450 points. The markets are expected to remain volatile in view of the results of the general elections which will be announced on May 16. At the meeting Chidambaram, according to a Finance Ministry statement, urged all the regulators to be watchful of developments in the market and large volatility in key parameters.

Chidambaram also called upon the regulators and the Ministry officials "to be in a state of readiness and take necessary action if the situation so warrants". Sinha said the market regulator is watching the situation very carefully and all the systems are in place. "There is no need for anybody to worry. If we find that anybody is doing anything wrong, is in violation of any of Sebi's regulation, we will take prompt action," Sinha said. RBI Chief Rajan too said: "The regulators have examined the financial system over last few weeks. We have conducted a variety of tests. We are in many ways prepared for any kind of volatility that might emerge over the next few days". The 10th meeting of the Financial Stability and Development Council (FSDC) today took stock of the Indian economy and deliberated on domestic and growth scenario, fiscal, monetary and external sector, foreign capital flows.

It also discussed on inflation, developments in financial markets as also the outlook and challenges facing the economy. The Council also discussed the detailed assessment of external sector vulnerabilities of the economy while recognising the improvement made in controlling CAD, exchange rate volatility. Besides Sebi and RBI, the FSDC meeting was attended by IRDA Chairman T S Vijayan, FMC Chairman Ramesh Abhishek, Finance Secretary Arvind Mayaram and Financial Services Secretary G S Sandhu among others. The FSDC was also apprised of the progress made by the FSDC sub-committee and its technical groups in areas like bank capital requirements, non-legislative recommendations of FSLRC, strengthening and deepening of interest rate futures market and lending by insurance companies, among other things.

Subscribe for updates

Get All Stories Delivered At Your Email Address Daily
Enter your email address:


Digg Technorati del.icio.us Stumbleupon Reddit Blinklist Furl Spurl Yahoo Simpy